Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208fec08a3ad1642661c6c68211aaa712948e03d3dcf197a2e62863006e3f7d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 10,788$8,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,595.25 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 7,290$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 17c | 5,803$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.32 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 2,628$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 69c | 2,159$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 60c | 2,023$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.09 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…b082backed No | 62c | 1,000$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 876.75$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.44 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 32c | 463.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 401.55$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.93 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed No | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 23c | 247.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 17c | 203.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 34c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Yes | 40c | 184.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 21c | 153.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 61c | 151.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 15c | 151$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 22c | 149.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 148.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 73c | 148.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 45c | 134.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 116.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 21c | 114.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 32c | 90.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 85.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 77c | 77.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 38c | 71.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 27c | 70.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 18c | 65.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 76c | 52.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 35c | 45.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 78c | 38.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e05backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 30.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 79c | 27.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 56c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 24.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…5f76backed No | 74c | 16.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-25?No won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.