Asian League · resolved market
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc92e2ee1e1b1a436c334634f7bf4c32687ac5ff83dd8d36558e0e9927d45e2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 4,122$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 3c | 3,556$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 3c | 3,397$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 37c | 1,352$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 1,038$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.68 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 32c | 1,022$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 2c | 918.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 3c | 864$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 554$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.44 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…1497backed Yes | 36c | 542.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 440.83$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 429.04$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 37c | 418.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 38c | 391$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 34c | 295.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes | 37c | 225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 36c | 205.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Yes | 37c | 201.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 167.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 64c | 157.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…b573backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 70c | 118.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 12c | 83.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 77.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…9d48backed Yes | 36c | 77.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Yes | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 35c | 56.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e0…fe5dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 37c | 30.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Yes | 36c | 28.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 64c | 25.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 17.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.