TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AZ win on 2026-04-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed No62c12,246$7,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.591471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c5,593$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.9429742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No58c4,219$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c4,104$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.682,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No56c3,804$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c3,151$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.557,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes38c2,533$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.0713357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c2,338$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.195,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes45c2,149$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c2,006$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.111,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No64c1,918$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.714961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes43c1,786$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.774344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes32c1,761$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.66120%0 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c1,710$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.442,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes38c1,587$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.214656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes41c1,389$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.1113336.1%48 W · 85 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No67c1,382$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.624436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes43c999.94$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9115361.4%94 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c823.04$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.532,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No70c732.77$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.431,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes43c704.64$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30326549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes38c681.71$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0534358.9%202 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No69c665.9$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8713755.5%76 W · 61 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes31c642.66$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.151650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes38c633.42$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.716756.3%94 W · 73 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes38c633.4$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6918344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes29c609.72$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.282,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed No57c599.99$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2582365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes18c598$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No66c554.39$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7887745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked No73c546.56$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes26c508.96$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0144768%304 W · 143 L+52.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13564143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes36c481.65$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No59c468.24$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.092,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes38c428.34$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7738359.3%227 W · 156 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No64c425.82$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4692043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes33c412.16$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.342020%4 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-61.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa62d…70c8backed Yes26c403.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes37c380.76$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.296051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes41c351$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.914841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes33c349.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.182924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No66c337.57$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7629052.4%152 W · 138 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes38c317.79$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.768867%59 W · 29 L+10.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes18c312.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6894043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Yes36c267.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6710259.8%61 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No57c256.37$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.241662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No57c256.37$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2821854.1%118 W · 100 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes5c241.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9898552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes38c240.7$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4714560%87 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Yes43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604012.5%5 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22d8…b421backed Yes43c199.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No68c186.26$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0132259.3%191 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No56c184.1$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes38c180.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.094447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No57c172.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.147160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Yes32c172.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448a…e87dbacked Yes11c171.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.931931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes37c169.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.81,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No58c168.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4212443.5%54 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No68c164.86$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.115962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No68c163.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6838358.7%225 W · 158 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes36c160.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.74965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yes38c156.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.334126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No57c149.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2511657.8%67 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.968125.9%21 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2813251.5%68 W · 64 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed No67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c145.35$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1285250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes32c143.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0914468.8%99 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes31c140.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1937341.6%155 W · 218 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes24c140$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No56c139.97$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.599644.8%43 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked No57c136.73$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No57c135.41$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2335154.7%192 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No58c134.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4720647.6%98 W · 108 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes38c131.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9312261.5%75 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes30c127.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3222349.3%110 W · 113 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1425653.1%136 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes31c120.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.395742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No69c119.47$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.04955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e0…fe5dbacked Yes33c116.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c106.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5667348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Yes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed No56c99.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes30c98.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.78831.8%28 W · 60 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed Yes15c98.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes31c97.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.351838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-40.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No64c96.07$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.915856.9%33 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7b…6a68backed Yes33c95.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.