Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Peru: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x110cee56c0307397fe30956216cadebdb323ce52e6b33a2ff90d0a1f17e36cee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 60c | 1,370$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 37c | 1,071$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.29 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 480.04$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.29 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 40c | 295.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1b21backed Yes | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 128.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 67c | 115.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed No | 62c | 110.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 54c | 85.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…0dc1backed No | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 59.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 52.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 42c | 51.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 31c | 36.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 28.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…61cbbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 16.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Peru: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 3.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Peru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.