Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x300d45891dbc4da6469d76aa43a1cd4367143886f60ab7f88d14aefe9bbd847e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 73c | 5,459$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 4,274$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 75c | 2,545$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed Under | 28c | 2,377$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 27c | 2,092$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.84 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 27c | 1,911$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 1,858$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.71 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 25c | 1,473$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.62 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Over | 69c | 1,304$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Under | 27c | 882.09$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 590.21$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…feedbacked Over | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 72c | 500.29$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 499.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 26c | 452.09$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 77c | 444.86$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 430.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…25d8backed Over | 74c | 393$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 52c | 388.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 28c | 360.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…e537backed Over | 74c | 349.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 305.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 74c | 280$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 46c | 278.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 46c | 278.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 75c | 267.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 265.56$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 255.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 46c | 254.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 246.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 63c | 239.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 216.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Over | 72c | 196.41$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 166.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 71c | 150.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1467backed Over | 56c | 106.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 45c | 103.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 98.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d91…7781backed Over | 73c | 93.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 56c | 75.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 42c | 64.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 26c | 59.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 46c | 57.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 69c | 50.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Over | 62c | 39.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5194…5768backed Over | 73c | 38.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 49c | 37.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Over | 54c | 36.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 44c | 30.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…2302backed Over | 73c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked Over | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…07e7backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 111 | 74.8%83 W · 28 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7565…bf00backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Over | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…b48cbacked Over | 75c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 1.5this page
- Senegal vs. Peru: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 3.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Peru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.