Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc99cde8c76b59f8931ba8199aad9d1c7c5e8f313054558ba60ba7e808134ac15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 24c | 5,366$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.91 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 4,712$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 3,832$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 25c | 2,173$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.27 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 1,500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 10c | 860.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 77c | 645.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 78c | 382.23$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 77c | 324.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 17c | 268.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 75c | 212.54$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 78c | 208.32$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 25c | 197.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 158.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 34c | 136.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1b21backed Over | 18c | 101.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 14c | 94.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 80.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 26c | 79.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…325cbacked Under | 75c | 75.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ba…0228backed Over | 14c | 75.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 80c | 68.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 76c | 65.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 32c | 63.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 80c | 62.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 75c | 59.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 75c | 38.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 78c | 31.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…a4a9backed Under | 77c | 24.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 3.5this page
- Senegal vs. Peru: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Peru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.