Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41bdc817e6523ad4dc9b34373f615e648ec9a6938607f40cbb9df00ab2fa0314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senegalof Senegal, Peru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Senegal | 44c | 1,213$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Peru | 60c | 1,086$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Senegal | 42c | 1,014$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.31 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Peru | 58c | 775.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.16 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Peru | 58c | 520.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Senegal | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Peru | 56c | 469$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Peru | 70c | 361.69$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Senegal | 40c | 359.2$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Peru | 56c | 341.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Senegal | 43c | 303.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Peru | 61c | 299.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1b21backed Senegal | 44c | 240.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Senegal | 40c | 214.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Senegal | 59c | 191.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…a926backed Senegal | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Peru | 58c | 138.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Peru | 59c | 128.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Peru | 59c | 128.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Peru | 59c | 128.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Senegal | 45c | 123.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…b560backed Senegal | 42c | 117.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Senegal | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Peru | 58c | 114.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Senegal | 47c | 106.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…2bc1backed Senegal | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Senegal | 36c | 88.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Peru | 59c | 80.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed Senegal | 44c | 78.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…bf8bbacked Peru | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Senegal | 29c | 55.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Peru | 55c | 51.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…01debacked Peru | 65c | 46.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Senegal | 46c | 43.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Peru | 58c | 42.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Peru | 74c | 40.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Senegal | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…824abacked Senegal | 39c | 33.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927d…b7b0backed Peru | 62c | 25.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Peru | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Peru | 59c | 24.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d0…2a57backed Peru | 63c | 16.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)this page
- Senegal vs. Peru: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 3.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Peru: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Peru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.