Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b38a7d1b2842f698915d5d948fdd26ddafb8dfb844fbcbcecf5c8bdb10b704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 80c | 2,512$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.69 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 20c | 900.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 76c | 607.91$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.91 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 24c | 578.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 3c | 534.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Under | 65c | 433.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 35c | 400.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 371.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 305$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 59c | 305$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 25c | 285.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 183.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 21c | 152$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 25c | 146.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 132.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…134fbacked Over | 24c | 125.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 121.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 65c | 117.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…66cbbacked Over | 58c | 113$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 37c | 109.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +91%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…6258backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 28c | 96.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 35c | 75.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 79c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…e7e7backed Over | 34c | 68.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 79c | 63.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…c43bbacked Over | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Over | 33c | 56.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 76c | 49.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 54c | 47.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 76c | 46.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Under | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 44.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 46c | 43.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 33c | 38.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 37.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 80c | 35.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…3f3fbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 64c | 28.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 26.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1184backed Over | 60c | 24.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 71c | 21.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 20.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.