Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd623fe1784245aa032f9aa918c2788e0575de6309e6170e3f41e353e1dfc19f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 70c | 1,714$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 29c | 1,011$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.19 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 478$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Under | 31c | 418.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…124fbacked Over | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 72c | 390.86$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 375.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 29c | 345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 74c | 344.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 44c | 204.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 68c | 188.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 177.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 30c | 165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 136.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 125.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 60c | 116.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over | 51c | 106.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 30c | 87.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 67.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 30c | 53.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 50.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 44.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 30c | 43.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 37.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 40c | 35.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Over | 71c | 30.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 70c | 22.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 71c | 20.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 71c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.