Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1607ea4e1c49477cc01fc5e2a22e1e56e711f5981898495d6180c16c883c9ea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7ed…4224backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…b3c7backed Yes | 9c | 2,284$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…6db2backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +476.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 21c | 651.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.09 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 504.21$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.48 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…1757backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 367.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…2ac4backed Yes | 77c | 328.82$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 24c | 283.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed Yes | 73c | 266.72$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 78c | 255.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ce…ae71backed Yes | 70c | 250.15$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 39c | 217.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 71c | 216$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked No | 24c | 211.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 30c | 201.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…5548backed Yes | 66c | 189.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed No | 15c | 188.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Yes | 73c | 170$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…485abacked Yes | 65c | 170$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 66c | 169.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 25c | 168.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…fe39backed No | 24c | 160$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked No | 27c | 160$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…f46fbacked Yes | 70c | 154.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked No | 19c | 141.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…9446backed Yes | 78c | 141.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked No | 27c | 117.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…e889backed No | 31c | 114.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…f83cbacked Yes | 79c | 112.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 111.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…ca53backed Yes | 60c | 111.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 72c | 108.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…af3ebacked Yes | 77c | 105$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 30c | 101.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…40c6backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…a738backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Yes | 55c | 97.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e0…1f63backed Yes | 70c | 96.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…a9b9backed Yes | 52c | 92.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fa…f447backed Yes | 56c | 89.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 32c | 83.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed Yes | 61c | 82.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…f846backed Yes | 72c | 77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…917cbacked Yes | 72c | 76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…2635backed No | 33c | 72.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93c…b4a2backed Yes | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…e079backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…073dbacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 72c | 69.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 72c | 66.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 54c | 65.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…989bbacked Yes | 69c | 65.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb0…1b9ebacked No | 18c | 64.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…824cbacked Yes | 69c | 62.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…06a6backed No | 34c | 61.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 21c | 60.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…1217backed No | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 70c | 58.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…8719backed Yes | 71c | 56.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…5ab0backed Yes | 80c | 55.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 72c | 51.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…a3d5backed No | 24c | 50.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…2458backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…2061backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…7feebacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391c…68d1backed No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…4bc5backed Yes | 74c | 47.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…5c0abacked Yes | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…d6e6backed Yes | 67c | 44.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…dd08backed Yes | 77c | 44.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…ee61backed Yes | 72c | 44.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f54ebacked Yes | 68c | 44.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4b…6b39backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…75d6backed Yes | 74c | 42.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…71cfbacked Yes | 72c | 41.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…a28ebacked No | 49c | 41.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 70c | 41.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…1da9backed Yes | 75c | 40.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +169%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…6edbbacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…b6bcbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0470…6811backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 71c | 38.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…0c98backed Yes | 70c | 35.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on January 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.