Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. LIU Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1df8371abe116fbeb8cfa0e322280b57c8453a9d571dab9f7f0b9443e2c975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof Stonehill Skyhawks, LIU Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 17c | 710.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LIU Sharks | 74c | 694.06$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 44c | 304.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 34c | 263$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 39c | 231.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed LIU Sharks | 62c | 177.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked LIU Sharks | 57c | 157.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed LIU Sharks | 70c | 134.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 18c | 107.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 33c | 106.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 50c | 75.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 43c | 68.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked LIU Sharks | 77c | 59.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked LIU Sharks | 69c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed LIU Sharks | 72c | 22.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked LIU Sharks | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed LIU Sharks | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. LIU Sharksthis page
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-10.5)Stonehill Skyhawks won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 131.5Under won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 132.5Under won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 133.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.