Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbf87944f39d3527a6dd5e75af84730debb71b432c6e10e8c198dc22a3eaa823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Peter's Peacocksof Siena Saints, Saint Peter's Peacocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 951.03$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 892$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Siena Saints | 50c | 397.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Siena Saints | 31c | 389.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 73c | 309.86$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 55c | 304.47$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Siena Saints | 50c | 210.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Siena Saints | 24c | 209.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Siena Saints | 32c | 201.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 47c | 195.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Siena Saints | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 174.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Siena Saints | 37c | 147.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 69c | 147.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Siena Saints | 27c | 139$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Siena Saints | 57c | 132.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 48c | 119.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Siena Saints | 51c | 117.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Siena Saints | 40c | 83.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Siena Saints | 34c | 73.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 55c | 68.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 38c | 62.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 58.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 55c | 51.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Siena Saints | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Siena Saints | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 47c | 40.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Siena Saints | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Siena Saints | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Siena Saints | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Siena Saints | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Siena Saints | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 49c | 27.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Siena Saints | 46c | 27.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Siena Saints | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Siena Saints | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Siena Saints | 52c | 21.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Siena Saints | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 75c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 68c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksthis page
- Siena Saints vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 135.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 136.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-1.5)Saint Peter's Peacocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.