Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2693d1170cd9397b70fef4fea2810fdf6dcdabec854886d057927471465f5e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Davis Aggiesof Cal Poly Mustangs, UC Davis Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked UC Davis Aggies | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 39c | 6,045$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 2,888$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.4 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 2,153$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 984$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UC Davis Aggies | 33c | 853.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.38 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 21c | 786.88$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked UC Davis Aggies | 69c | 599.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 35c | 506.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.39 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 33c | 439.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UC Davis Aggies | 63c | 400.68$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies | 57c | 372.75$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UC Davis Aggies | 61c | 325.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 56c | 323.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 62c | 292.76$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 51c | 208.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UC Davis Aggies | 65c | 203.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 198.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed UC Davis Aggies | 57c | 175.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 37c | 174$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 27c | 165.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Davis Aggies | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 48c | 125.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 38c | 119$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5459…3830backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 106.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 29c | 101.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UC Davis Aggies | 42c | 95.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 90.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…3a65backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 68c | 87.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed UC Davis Aggies | 51c | 81.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 55c | 67.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UC Davis Aggies | 51c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 52.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UC Davis Aggies | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Davis Aggies | 44c | 47.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 30c | 45.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 32c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UC Davis Aggies | 74c | 43.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed UC Davis Aggies | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Davis Aggies | 59c | 28.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 52c | 28.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed UC Davis Aggies | 64c | 23.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UC Davis Aggies | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked UC Davis Aggies | 73c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggiesthis page
- Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 169.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.