Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x385ff45c1993fe402c1956432dc9b9d7b029ac06974893eaef55a39a40ddce7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 33c | 2,963$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.21 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 37c | 2,128$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.37 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 1,969$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.77 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 1,653$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 1,183$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 79c | 508.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 501.82$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 17c | 433.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 303.49$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 226.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…49babacked Yes | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 157.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 144.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 56c | 126.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…4dfbbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 62c | 104.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 30c | 80.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 63c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 60c | 75.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 62c | 73.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 25c | 59.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 54.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 62c | 52.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 37c | 39.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Yes | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will FC Arouca vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.