Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Michael Mmoh vs Patrick Kypson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70adc1d0fd4756cfda39a56c90ef816e030681c4f1213dc730291ffb715e9da5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mmohof Mmoh, Kypson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mmoh | 48c | 1,496$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Kypson | 2c | 1,400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kypson | 51c | 1,173$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.23 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Kypson | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Mmoh | 71c | 546.68$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Kypson | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kypson | 45c | 421.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kypson | 52c | 227$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kypson | 45c | 192.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mmoh | 71c | 184$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kypson | 48c | 152.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Kypson | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mmoh | 34c | 105.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Kypson | 61c | 94.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kypson | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed Kypson | 66c | 60.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Kypson | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mmoh | 33c | 36.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678d…ee46backed Kypson | 67c | 30.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Mmoh | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Mmoh | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kypson | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Mmoh | 46c | 28.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Mmoh | 52c | 27.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mmoh | 45c | 25.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Kypson | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.