Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10f3b600025c73c73d69a951e3a1d5be500e26f2ff2af59d7e1226b8ed9f5068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof SMU Mustangs, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed SMU Mustangs | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…220abacked SMU Mustangs | 65c | 3,600$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…c2e6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 35c | 3,600$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 39c | 2,389$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked SMU Mustangs | 66c | 1,800$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 30c | 1,681$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 36c | 1,644$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed SMU Mustangs | 67c | 885.67$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.27 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 43c | 613$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 36c | 610.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 43c | 610$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.3 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SMU Mustangs | 65c | 582.7$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 34c | 545.88$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 28c | 542$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 34c | 499.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed SMU Mustangs | 66c | 367.8$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 36c | 317.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked SMU Mustangs | 67c | 268.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked SMU Mustangs | 66c | 262.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SMU Mustangs | 69c | 248.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked SMU Mustangs | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 32c | 196.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 33c | 147.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed SMU Mustangs | 70c | 143.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 43c | 108.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 35c | 96.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked SMU Mustangs | 58c | 95.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked SMU Mustangs | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 37c | 88.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 34c | 87.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 33c | 60.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SMU Mustangs | 77c | 50.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 38c | 50.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 39c | 45.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 28c | 43.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed SMU Mustangs | 70c | 41.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 38c | 36.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed SMU Mustangs | 67c | 36.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SMU Mustangs | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 36c | 31.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…7e8abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 45c | 23.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked SMU Mustangs | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed SMU Mustangs | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 20.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked SMU Mustangs | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked SMU Mustangs | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked SMU Mustangs | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed SMU Mustangs | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. Pittsburgh Panthersthis page
- SMU Mustangs vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-4.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-5.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.