Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1354c840126943251593b9dcf60debcaf62d347ddeca2600533fc2361ed20ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Kentucky Norseof Milwaukee Panthers, Northern Kentucky Norse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 65c | 4,627$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.65 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 25c | 1,959$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Panthers | 36c | 1,903$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.42 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 27c | 1,205$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.39 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 73c | 1,199$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.83 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 73c | 657.39$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Milwaukee Panthers | 37c | 548.49$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 523$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Milwaukee Panthers | 22c | 445.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 27c | 421$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 25c | 406.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 339.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 289$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 30c | 285$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 64c | 272$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Milwaukee Panthers | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 23c | 240.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 31c | 186.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Milwaukee Panthers | 32c | 182$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Milwaukee Panthers | 42c | 177$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Milwaukee Panthers | 35c | 166.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Milwaukee Panthers | 27c | 125.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 78c | 110.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 73c | 105$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 75c | 102.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 25c | 76.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 79c | 73.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Milwaukee Panthers | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 68c | 49.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Milwaukee Panthers | 38c | 38.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 26.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 66c | 24.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norsethis page
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 156.5Under won
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-6.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-7.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.