Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe434bbceaf7fcf46f8745bf4a81ba0287c0271b6098c8c61ff4ec4b606456e47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 52c | 45,039$23,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,673.75 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 30,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,250 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 11,492$5,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,518.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 47c | 10,406$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 2,899$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.4 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 2,520$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.4 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 48c | 208.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 170.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 69.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 46c | 49.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 47c | 46.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 48c | 40.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 54c | 30.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 157.5this page
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky NorseNorthern Kentucky Norse won
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-6.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-7.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.