South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a893b3207bdbe469a171b0d15bc5fa107de18b3e9a5fb5fcfe34f64ca558a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 76c | 14,632$11,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,120.02 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 45c | 3,966$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.7 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 64c | 2,167$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.6 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 617.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 4c | 498.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.59 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Yes | 44c | 485.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 339.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 159$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 77c | 155.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 20c | 140$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 76c | 60.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 45c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 40.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 32.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 75c | 32.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 30.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked No | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 56c | 27.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked No | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…d6a6backed Yes | 46c | 26.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 77c | 23.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…7684backed Yes | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 73c | 15.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 75cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.