Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f34484b0a21c9e7defa0e30785822d85dc446852872f74529bfd8bbc86a055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, Vivo Keyd Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked LOUD | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,500 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 46,431$32,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,965.78 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked LOUD | 33c | 9,470$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,353.49 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 64c | 3,095$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.13 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 62c | 3,051$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.78 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 2,729$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.83 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked LOUD | 26c | 2,720$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.26 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 67c | 2,548$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.58 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…8f73backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 2c | 1,900$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +243.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 1,888$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.62 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD | 35c | 1,143$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.86 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 27c | 1,118$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.61 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LOUD | 34c | 908.76$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.45 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LOUD | 29c | 650$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.3 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 550$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 544$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.24 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 521.13$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LOUD | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 70c | 459.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked LOUD | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 411.84$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked LOUD | 24c | 406.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.83 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…5b66backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 3c | 398.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 380$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed LOUD | 28c | 355.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.04 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked LOUD | 76c | 336.16$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 41c | 300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LOUD | 48c | 297.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.42 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed LOUD | 49c | 201.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed LOUD | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked LOUD | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…c284backed LOUD | 28c | 180.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 30c | 163.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LOUD | 28c | 130.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 47c | 116.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 60c | 114.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked LOUD | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed LOUD | 21c | 96.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed LOUD | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…70bebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 74c | 72.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed LOUD | 25c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked LOUD | 19c | 63.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…5fbebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 67c | 50.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked LOUD | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 74c | 46.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…42f3backed LOUD | 25c | 40.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed LOUD | 37c | 36.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…6504backed LOUD | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…cd16backed LOUD | 80c | 28.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…598fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 66c | 17.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.