Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6c5ad1ff70922435feae2db1bee8fd65c0fabfb9fcfe566336a0b9ec02a9e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, Vivo Keyd Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 45c | 66,826$30,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,383.5 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed LOUD | 55c | 46,329$25,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,928.52 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LOUD | 61c | 9,773$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.33 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked LOUD | 57c | 5,999$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.32 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed LOUD | 60c | 5,921$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 2,505$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.24 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 52c | 1,719$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.26 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 64c | 1,645$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.01 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 34c | 1,199$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.1 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed LOUD | 55c | 1,187$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.93 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed LOUD | 36c | 1,181$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.79 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 34c | 890.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 36c | 868.7$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LOUD | 41c | 682$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.86 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 60c | 620$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 45c | 609.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LOUD | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…cc6fbacked LOUD | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 75c | 525$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 23c | 525$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 28cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 500$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed LOUD | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed LOUD | 74c | 450$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 36c | 450$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 32c | 442$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LOUD | 36c | 440$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 64c | 370.43$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked LOUD | 63c | 347.32$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed LOUD | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed LOUD | 52c | 238.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LOUD | 32c | 203.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…2feebacked LOUD | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…d9d0backed LOUD | 36c | 161.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed LOUD | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD | 29c | 128.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 27c | 127.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b7f3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 42c | 118.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 116.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed LOUD | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed LOUD | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 40c | 96.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 64c | 94.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed LOUD | 63c | 85.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 84.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…42f3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 25c | 80.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed LOUD | 36c | 79.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…bf5dbacked LOUD | 63c | 66.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…c284backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 75c | 65.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…4137backed LOUD | 59c | 64.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 36c | 62.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…19b7backed LOUD | 79c | 57.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed LOUD | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked LOUD | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked LOUD | 39c | 48.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed LOUD | 34c | 47.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…5fbebacked LOUD | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…528abacked LOUD | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.39per pick | 47cpaid | -84%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6557backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed LOUD | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 543 | 43.6%237 W · 306 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…fcbbbacked LOUD | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…cd16backed LOUD | 47c | 22.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked LOUD | 68c | 20.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 71c | 18.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -12.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.