TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No71c7,826$5,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.54940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes28c4,844$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.473447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c4,385$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.6387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes1c4,177$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.851323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c3,826$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.8752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c3,474$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.11,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c1,759$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes29c1,682$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.919159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6d5…847abacked No72c1,643$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes25c1,459$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1124642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c1,366$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.131,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes30c1,172$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.61020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes29c1,010$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c985$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No71c710$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.93100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c599.97$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9912957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c592.52$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.438066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes16c503$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.765635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes21c465.78$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.714637%17 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes28c454.13$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.24546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes29c400.02$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2329949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c372.51$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes27c370.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8714045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c290$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.115455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes28c283.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c272$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No71c258.8$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.054751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes28c224.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No72c210$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.13354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes29c206.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…127cbacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c179$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc918…f848backed Yes29c153.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c151.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4935037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No73c136.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.982962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes29c132.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf677…409ebacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc4…f310backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes26c99.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.982564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No74c98.61$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.844856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes27c92.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.92128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes28c88.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes29c79.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes28c72.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.365529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No77c70.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.355322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes29c68.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes28c68.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.564537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c63.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x241b…aa5cbacked Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes23c51.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Yes29c51.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0462…c8f4backed Yes30c50.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.150%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes28c50.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.175352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0420232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9130…6856backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes27c48.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.974332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No72c46.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.899535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No78c44.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5922854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bb…7b07backed Yes30c40.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes26c39.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.399246.7%43 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes28c38.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed No72c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.645064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes28c37.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.619767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Yes29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.053060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Yes30c33.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2910960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No72c24.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed No73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b2…2658backed No72c22.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No73c21.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.815745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No71c20.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.963161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed No73c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.62286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc448…d166backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…16d6backed No72c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.323265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked No72c17.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.