TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Georgia State Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northern Illinois Huskiesof Northern Illinois Huskies, Georgia State Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,055 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Georgia State Panthers69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Northern Illinois Huskies69c1,393$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.593745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northern Illinois Huskies33c1,349$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.275,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Illinois Huskies23c612.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.344,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Georgia State Panthers51c465.39$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.493145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Northern Illinois Huskies70c447.69$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.412,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Georgia State Panthers15c406.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.561,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Georgia State Panthers71c386.66$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.225637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Georgia State Panthers64c297$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4738345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Georgia State Panthers70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Northern Illinois Huskies36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.789525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Georgia State Panthers64c269.22$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.35,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Georgia State Panthers56c252.32$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.821,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Illinois Huskies35c238.91$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.633,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc58…1e76backed Georgia State Panthers54c210.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Georgia State Panthers37c210$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Georgia State Panthers66c183.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.461,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Illinois Huskies31c181$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.892,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Georgia State Panthers55c172.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+118.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Georgia State Panthers70c139.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Northern Illinois Huskies31c123$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8822050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Northern Illinois Huskies48c107.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.674949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Georgia State Panthers64c97.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.411,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Georgia State Panthers68c88.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.994,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Georgia State Panthers22c87.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.311,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Georgia State Panthers63c79.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Illinois Huskies27c75.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.331,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia State Panthers42c67.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Northern Illinois Huskies29c67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.574254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Georgia State Panthers56c64.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Northern Illinois Huskies36c61.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Georgia State Panthers67c58.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e4…ec34backed Northern Illinois Huskies42c47.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.441020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Illinois Huskies35c32.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Northern Illinois Huskies50c31.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.011,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Northern Illinois Huskies35c30.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4130945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed Georgia State Panthers79c27.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.753956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Georgia State Panthers80c27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5836942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa279…fd20backed Northern Illinois Huskies57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Georgia State Panthers65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia State Panthers80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Northern Illinois Huskies72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x095b…6f34backed Georgia State Panthers69c18.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Georgia State Panthers70c17.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Georgia State Panthers71c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.362653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf012…6d13backed Georgia State Panthers71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.