Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Idaho State Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a690c754e8fedca396c12066921b30edfc1876b7480b299afd64c192087dcf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Northern Colorado Bears, Idaho State Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho State Bengals | 55c | 2,380$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northern Colorado Bears | 52c | 1,950$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Idaho State Bengals | 51c | 1,606$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.9 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Northern Colorado Bears | 39c | 1,290$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northern Colorado Bears | 64c | 750.5$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho State Bengals | 9c | 648.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 446.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Colorado Bears | 71c | 409.08$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.09 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Idaho State Bengals | 45c | 387.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Idaho State Bengals | 49c | 321$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northern Colorado Bears | 36c | 299.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 63c | 269.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Idaho State Bengals | 44c | 227.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Idaho State Bengals | 54c | 203.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 185.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Northern Colorado Bears | 65c | 172.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Idaho State Bengals | 52c | 169.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Northern Colorado Bears | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 75c | 97.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 43c | 86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Northern Colorado Bears | 39c | 81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 44c | 75.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Idaho State Bengals | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Idaho State Bengals | 33c | 49.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Idaho State Bengals | 44c | 49.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northern Colorado Bears | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Idaho State Bengals | 53c | 41.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 36.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 64c | 32.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Idaho State Bengals | 66c | 28.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a7a3backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 28.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Colorado Bears | 52c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Idaho State Bengals | 61c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Northern Colorado Bears | 55c | 20.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Northern Colorado Bears | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 58c | 19.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Idaho State Bengalsthis page
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Idaho State Bengals: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-1.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.