Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Lipscomb Bisons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c21861d3042ebd55b4af3e704e8e2fc61e2005561de11b7c40de12035fcb3fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Arkansas Bearsof Central Arkansas Bears, Lipscomb Bisons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 65c | 11,885$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,725.17 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Lipscomb Bisons | 17c | 5,675$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.77 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Central Arkansas Bears | 36c | 3,047$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 74c | 2,676$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.39 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 2,470$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.09 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 36c | 2,001$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 1,852$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 19c | 1,643$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.59 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lipscomb Bisons | 38c | 779$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 74c | 727.75$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Central Arkansas Bears | 38c | 650$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 576$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.68 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 442.37$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.03 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 408.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.59 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Lipscomb Bisons | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Lipscomb Bisons | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lipscomb Bisons | 24c | 342.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 282.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Lipscomb Bisons | 63c | 281$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lipscomb Bisons | 34c | 266.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Lipscomb Bisons | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 55c | 220.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lipscomb Bisons | 43c | 172.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lipscomb Bisons | 12c | 162.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 65c | 155$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lipscomb Bisons | 14c | 131$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Central Arkansas Bears | 36c | 129.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Central Arkansas Bears | 37c | 125.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 19c | 124.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Central Arkansas Bears | 37c | 106$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lipscomb Bisons | 43c | 77.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 61c | 75.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 32c | 72.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Central Arkansas Bears | 36c | 64.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…896dbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Central Arkansas Bears | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Central Arkansas Bears | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 35.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Lipscomb Bisons | 39c | 35.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 35c | 32.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lipscomb Bisons | 40c | 26.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 53c | 21.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 64c | 20.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Lipscomb Bisons | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Arkansas Bears vs. Lipscomb Bisonsthis page
- Spread: Lipscomb Bisons (-4.5)Central Arkansas Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.