Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Morgan State Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeddad16d5ee8d3471650371e39cca597c04f55e20abb9116f57c31996a173dda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morgan State Bearsof Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks, Morgan State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Morgan State Bears | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 53c | 1,179$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.75 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 40c | 755.52$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 50c | 565.12$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 47c | 558.58$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Morgan State Bears | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Morgan State Bears | 47c | 466.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 36c | 421.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Morgan State Bears | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 49c | 246$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Morgan State Bears | 53c | 189.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Morgan State Bears | 51c | 171.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 56c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Morgan State Bears | 65c | 142.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Morgan State Bears | 78c | 142.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 61c | 140.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Morgan State Bears | 75c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 47c | 135.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Morgan State Bears | 53c | 111.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Morgan State Bears | 58c | 102.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 48c | 68.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Morgan State Bears | 50c | 65.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 47c | 63.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1ae8backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 35c | 63.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Morgan State Bears | 40c | 61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 60c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 34c | 43.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Morgan State Bears | 56c | 42.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 47c | 38.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Morgan State Bears | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed Morgan State Bears | 38c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Morgan State Bears | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 53c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Morgan State Bears | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Morgan State Bearsthis page
- Spread: Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks (-1.5)Morgan State Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.