Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Youngstown State Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa96b5f39ec0a92602408ecdfe0ee15f837d0d9547233b486aa501218e899200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Morris Colonialsof Robert Morris Colonials, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 51c | 2,333$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.02 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 54c | 1,783$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 51c | 1,517$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.13 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Robert Morris Colonials | 14c | 751.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Robert Morris Colonials | 74c | 553.46$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 500$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Youngstown State Penguins | 31c | 342.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 333.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Youngstown State Penguins | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 69c | 289.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 65c | 251.45$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Robert Morris Colonials | 42c | 240.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Robert Morris Colonials | 29c | 208.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 20c | 195$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 171.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 58c | 148.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Youngstown State Penguins | 39c | 128.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Robert Morris Colonials | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 93.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Robert Morris Colonials | 39c | 75.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Youngstown State Penguins | 57c | 69.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 37c | 63.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Robert Morris Colonials | 78c | 57.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Robert Morris Colonials | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Robert Morris Colonials | 66c | 45.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Youngstown State Penguins | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 39c | 38.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 39c | 36.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Robert Morris Colonials | 63c | 35.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Robert Morris Colonials | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 40c | 26.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Robert Morris Colonials | 58c | 24.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 24.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Youngstown State Penguins | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 75c | 18.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…32d8backed Robert Morris Colonials | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.