Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Butler Bulldogs vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348b57352b38b595b3dc71e2510a41ad65aabc671549fc73d72f770bb19ad059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marquette Golden Eaglesof Butler Bulldogs, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 59c | 11,683$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.03 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 69c | 3,070$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 7c | 2,725$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Butler Bulldogs | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Butler Bulldogs | 26c | 799.93$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 64c | 756.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 74c | 699.44$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 50c | 537.34$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 69c | 517.3$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Butler Bulldogs | 40c | 495.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Butler Bulldogs | 27c | 413.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 60c | 409.55$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 317.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Butler Bulldogs | 26c | 293.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 57c | 275.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Butler Bulldogs | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 61c | 193$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 25c | 188.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Butler Bulldogs | 37c | 163.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Butler Bulldogs | 34c | 143.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Butler Bulldogs | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 57c | 88.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 88.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Butler Bulldogs | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Butler Bulldogs | 42c | 85.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 73c | 80.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 34c | 60.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Butler Bulldogs | 43c | 54.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…1dc4backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Butler Bulldogs | 23c | 50.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Butler Bulldogs | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Butler Bulldogs | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 71c | 47.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Butler Bulldogs | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 59c | 35.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 67c | 33.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Butler Bulldogs | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 62c | 29.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 66c | 29.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Butler Bulldogs | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Butler Bulldogs | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 79c | 22.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 66c | 16.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Butler Bulldogs vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesthis page
- Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-3.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.