TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Richmond Spiders vs. Rhode Island Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rhode Island Ramsof Richmond Spiders, Rhode Island Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Rhode Island Rams54c1,591$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.295,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rhode Island Rams58c1,546$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.173,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6756…8edcbacked Richmond Spiders36c1,401$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rhode Island Rams70c1,128$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.392,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Richmond Spiders51c1,071$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504628.3%13 W · 33 L-7.6wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rhode Island Rams47c1,026$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.931,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Richmond Spiders29c954.79$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.51,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Richmond Spiders54c859.42$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.731,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Rhode Island Rams75c797.61$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.952,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Richmond Spiders30c750$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22556444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Richmond Spiders28c730.74$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Richmond Spiders20c574$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.672,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Richmond Spiders47c511.31$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.864,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Rhode Island Rams64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18081453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Richmond Spiders42c482.35$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8844146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Richmond Spiders32c357.7$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.051,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Richmond Spiders35c345.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.321,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Rhode Island Rams67c236.6$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Rhode Island Rams70c224.67$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.41,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Richmond Spiders46c215.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Richmond Spiders25c197.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.111,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Rhode Island Rams62c166.47$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0838345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rhode Island Rams69c131.81$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Richmond Spiders46c131$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8622050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Richmond Spiders33c127.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Richmond Spiders36c123.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Richmond Spiders26c105$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.492,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Richmond Spiders30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302425%6 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Richmond Spiders29c82.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.872441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Richmond Spiders39c67.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.421,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Richmond Spiders30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Rhode Island Rams55c66.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6699848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Richmond Spiders49c60.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Richmond Spiders31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Rhode Island Rams80c59.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.972,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rhode Island Rams69c55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.055,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Richmond Spiders36c54.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Richmond Spiders48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Rhode Island Rams61c41.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.154658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Richmond Spiders33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed Rhode Island Rams73c40.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.923956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc840…9cf6backed Richmond Spiders28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed Richmond Spiders31c34.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Rhode Island Rams65c25.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9930945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Rhode Island Rams56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.619138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Rhode Island Rams70c22.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8713651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Rhode Island Rams71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Rhode Island Rams62c17.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.575637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Rhode Island Rams71c16.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.939050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa11e…ef6ebacked Rhode Island Rams68c14.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.