Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x014a0318d5770adb3867650b1e0e3974550451034842c5cb84f6908b78ca2f8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,939 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 20c | 2,057$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.75 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 10c | 917.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…f51ebacked No | 2c | 717.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 60c | 655.6$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…a50cbacked Yes | 64c | 620.5$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.62 | 214 | 36%77 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 64c | 610.46$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.48 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 4c | 386.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…aeb1backed No | 3c | 366$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 5c | 264.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 240.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 16c | 206.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 18c | 203.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…79b6backed No | 45c | 187.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 48c | 164.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 56c | 161.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…6c48backed Yes | 64c | 156.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…8a56backed Yes | 79c | 152.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 20c | 148.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 34c | 143.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 38c | 135$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…7132backed No | 17c | 93.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 42c | 89.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 34c | 84.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…243bbacked Yes | 37c | 80.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 79c | 74.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…5203backed Yes | 52c | 72.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…a54abacked Yes | 45c | 71.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 49c | 69.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 43c | 68.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…e576backed No | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…e799backed No | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 31c | 62.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…42a7backed No | 27c | 62.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 61c | 56.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Yes | 35c | 52.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 65c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed Yes | 45c | 51.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Yes | 37c | 48.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 47.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 25c | 46.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 45.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe273…e74bbacked No | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 58c | 44.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 56c | 44.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 75c | 43.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 46c | 43.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531e…a7b3backed Yes | 48c | 41.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…d125backed No | 41c | 40.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51c…7427backed Yes | 38c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 39c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 68c | 36.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…7bb5backed Yes | 74c | 36.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…f7dcbacked Yes | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 40c | 34.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d11…8959backed Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…2a45backed Yes | 47c | 32.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 57c | 31.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 49c | 30.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…8bd4backed Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Yes | 59c | 25.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 47c | 25.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 47c | 24.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 63c | 22.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfc…46e8backed No | 67c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 61c | 21.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 58c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…ba43backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…b5f2backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…c34fbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…698cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…a0a8backed No | 52c | 19.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed No | 56c | 18.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 56c | 18.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 15.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…03afbacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…4b64backed Yes | 78c | 13.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.