Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Princeton Tigers vs. Penn Quakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e918219f4692aedd702969345019eb85e00318f26f3e7a152422530b30d97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Quakersof Princeton Tigers, Penn Quakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Princeton Tigers | 42c | 1,200$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn Quakers | 72c | 974.86$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penn Quakers | 69c | 956.42$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Princeton Tigers | 23c | 937.23$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Princeton Tigers | 16c | 806.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Penn Quakers | 54c | 794.09$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.53 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Princeton Tigers | 28c | 604.81$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Princeton Tigers | 39c | 574.36$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Princeton Tigers | 40c | 505.09$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Penn Quakers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Princeton Tigers | 30c | 476.48$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Penn Quakers | 75c | 464.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penn Quakers | 72c | 380.64$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Princeton Tigers | 27c | 368.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c25…87c0backed Princeton Tigers | 51c | 357$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Princeton Tigers | 25c | 279.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penn Quakers | 73c | 248.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Princeton Tigers | 27c | 165.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Princeton Tigers | 34c | 157.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Princeton Tigers | 17c | 150.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Princeton Tigers | 30c | 140.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Princeton Tigers | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penn Quakers | 77c | 108.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Princeton Tigers | 13c | 107$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Penn Quakers | 61c | 98.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Penn Quakers | 72c | 98.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Princeton Tigers | 23c | 81.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Princeton Tigers | 32c | 76.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed Princeton Tigers | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penn Quakers | 69c | 69.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Penn Quakers | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Penn Quakers | 73c | 40.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Princeton Tigers | 45c | 35.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Penn Quakers | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Penn Quakers | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Penn Quakers | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Penn Quakers | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Penn Quakers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Penn Quakers | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Penn Quakers | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Penn Quakers | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Penn Quakers | 58c | 18.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Penn Quakers | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Princeton Tigers vs. Penn Quakersthis page
- Princeton Tigers vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Princeton Tigers vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-3.5)Princeton Tigers won
- Spread: Penn Quakers (-4.5)Princeton Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.