Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon Ducks vs. Purdue Boilermakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0de8adc1afec3a2f44d5dfb14370dbcd519c9779d1793d0108b49fd532e5b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Oregon Ducks, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Oregon Ducks | 32c | 4,574$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.89 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Oregon Ducks | 6c | 3,528$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Oregon Ducks | 30c | 2,400$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.58 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Purdue Boilermakers | 63c | 2,253$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.74 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 74c | 2,112$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.74 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Purdue Boilermakers | 65c | 2,098$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.51 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…6dd8backed Oregon Ducks | 9c | 1,076$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon Ducks | 6c | 1,074$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Oregon Ducks | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon Ducks | 19c | 879$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oregon Ducks | 5c | 842$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Oregon Ducks | 5c | 802.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Oregon Ducks | 15c | 779.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon Ducks | 10c | 657.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Oregon Ducks | 15c | 655.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oregon Ducks | 15c | 557.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Oregon Ducks | 4c | 528.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Oregon Ducks | 21c | 475.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Oregon Ducks | 4c | 473.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Purdue Boilermakers | 80c | 441.04$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Oregon Ducks | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…e025backed Oregon Ducks | 12c | 375.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oregon Ducks | 39c | 321.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oregon Ducks | 4c | 299$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Oregon Ducks | 9c | 275.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Oregon Ducks | 49c | 270$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Oregon Ducks | 18c | 261.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Oregon Ducks | 42c | 236.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 63c | 146.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Oregon Ducks | 34c | 142$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oregon Ducks | 19c | 141.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oregon Ducks | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Oregon Ducks | 40c | 124.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 64c | 112.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Oregon Ducks | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Oregon Ducks | 20c | 101.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 62c | 100.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Oregon Ducks | 26c | 84.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oregon Ducks | 17c | 83.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Oregon Ducks | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oregon Ducks | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Purdue Boilermakers | 76c | 68.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 69c | 66.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Purdue Boilermakers | 71c | 62.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Boilermakers | 66c | 44.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oregon Ducks | 34c | 43.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 63c | 33.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Purdue Boilermakers | 73c | 18.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon Ducks vs. Purdue Boilermakersthis page
- Oregon Ducks vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-18.5)Oregon Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.