Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on March 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa136afc91ce35c751fcd5cd5cc52c682e5e8a668cc5c53c85bc9cafb9ec57c18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 0c | 9,226$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…a14abacked No | 37c | 2,692$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…2cb7backed Yes | 63c | 1,366$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771e…32c0backed Yes | 63c | 1,326$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1558…4f75backed Yes | 45c | 1,103$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.55 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 58c | 645.69$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.31 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed Yes | 57c | 543$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.93 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…c72abacked No | 46c | 464.6$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4a…41f4backed No | 34c | 385$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed Yes | 63c | 374.76$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9727…8248backed No | 28c | 359.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 66c | 339.46$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 66c | 319.49$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 43c | 253.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 42c | 225.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 201.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…7825backed No | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 60c | 190.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 50c | 181.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 39c | 178.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 661 | 44.5%294 W · 367 L | +57.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 56c | 175.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 58c | 158.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked Yes | 65c | 150.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 51c | 139.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 10c | 126.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…628cbacked No | 35c | 121.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…644fbacked No | 47c | 118.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 37c | 115.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed No | 32c | 114.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 49c | 107.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 56c | 106.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…5d3dbacked No | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 48c | 94.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 55c | 90.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 26c | 88.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 54c | 86.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3889…24a5backed No | 58c | 80.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed No | 51c | 79.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Yes | 61c | 76.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…78bebacked Yes | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4498…c984backed No | 47c | 74.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 64c | 73.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…19f4backed No | 34c | 72.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…3d0abacked No | 37c | 68.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…a16fbacked No | 54c | 68.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 61c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed No | 24c | 62.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4968…cda7backed Yes | 75c | 60.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…a58dbacked Yes | 68c | 57.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…5203backed Yes | 73c | 57.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…04b8backed No | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…1b7cbacked Yes | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 47c | 52.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06e…95a1backed No | 36c | 50.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Yes | 60c | 47.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…5121backed No | 54c | 46.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…f5c3backed Yes | 37c | 44.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…9ebbbacked No | 36c | 41.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 43c | 40.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed Yes | 75c | 39.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed No | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 35c | 36.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…8e7dbacked Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…a07bbacked Yes | 65c | 33.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…f02fbacked Yes | 61c | 33.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…5fd0backed No | 56c | 31.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 53c | 31.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2d…2debbacked No | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…df74backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…75f6backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 165 | 18.2%30 W · 135 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 270 | 50.4%136 W · 134 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…87d9backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…dbb7backed Yes | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Yes | 65c | 29.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 464 | 23.5%109 W · 355 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff4…e1aabacked No | 37c | 28.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 55c | 28.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 37c | 27.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…bed8backed No | 37c | 27.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…8a3bbacked Yes | 61c | 25.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…9c94backed Yes | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…5d90backed No | 61c | 23.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…2b6fbacked No | 50c | 23.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked Yes | 49c | 21.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 64c | 20.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5991…6340backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on March 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.