TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Fordham Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Bonaventure Bonniesof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, Fordham Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c7,213$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,623.6712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Fordham Rams51c7,178$3,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6319652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies47c2,122$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.9316056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fordham Rams49c2,000$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9852,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies47c1,994$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies44c1,275$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.081,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fordham Rams56c1,189$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.933,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Fordham Rams59c1,185$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.11,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Fordham Rams49c774.02$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.851,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Fordham Rams36c520.07$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.481,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies64c478.55$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.91,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Fordham Rams55c352.45$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.262,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Fordham Rams31c322.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.919525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Fordham Rams52c300.88$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Fordham Rams51c261.96$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.42245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c252$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies51c245$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.152,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fordham Rams52c236.08$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.71,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c229.06$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.051,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Fordham Rams53c203.76$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7844146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Fordham Rams54c199.71$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.671,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3113743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Fordham Rams53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies43c166.07$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0715733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c127$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.214,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Fordham Rams51c122.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.444,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies51c106.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2238345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x095b…6f34backed Fordham Rams54c98.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c75.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.135637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f26…8984backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies51c71.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies37c60.06$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.681,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies43c59.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies56c59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.033,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c53.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6214553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c53.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.522,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.526848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fordham Rams54c49.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.681,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fordham Rams52c47.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.872,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e4…ec34backed Fordham Rams48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fordham Rams51c35.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.011,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies46c34.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.642171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies49c31.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.399848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Fordham Rams52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c28.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9869…e817backed Fordham Rams53c28.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.311,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Fordham Rams47c24.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5219138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Fordham Rams53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0735650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b2…1ae8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.