Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53705e714df016b34245a358d1bf7d88773bace243aba54f1ad4af01e3005f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1b6…9db4backed Yes | 24c | 4,214$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…a893backed Yes | 26c | 4,076$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…fca0backed Yes | 24c | 4,022$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…9560backed Yes | 26c | 4,007$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…9544backed Yes | 25c | 3,970$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…0a68backed Yes | 28c | 3,938$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…2d64backed Yes | 1c | 3,903$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…b894backed No | 76c | 1,425$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7c…4adcbacked No | 76c | 1,400$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…d175backed No | 76c | 1,389$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…40e4backed No | 76c | 1,365$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…5008backed No | 74c | 1,365$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…e253backed No | 74c | 1,359$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f0…a263backed No | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…e5d1backed No | 75c | 1,350$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…b0b2backed No | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…85b5backed No | 74c | 1,332$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb57…7ed5backed No | 76c | 1,332$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7278…a54fbacked No | 72c | 1,330$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…627ebacked No | 74c | 1,325$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…541ebacked No | 76c | 1,325$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…f799backed No | 75c | 1,322$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611e…86b4backed No | 72c | 1,319$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…e3bcbacked No | 75c | 1,298$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…335dbacked No | 72c | 1,289$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 13c | 499.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 4c | 443.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…a50cbacked Yes | 22c | 433.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 214 | 36%77 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 20c | 387.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 16c | 343.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 28c | 307$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 302.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 22c | 297.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 25c | 284.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed Yes | 8c | 280.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 22c | 230.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 26c | 215.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 10c | 208.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 17c | 195.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 11c | 188.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 30c | 184.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…15a2backed Yes | 24c | 176.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 15c | 171.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 15c | 166.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 157.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 80c | 147.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 72c | 135$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…9afabacked Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…e0cabacked No | 78c | 116.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 114.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…77b0backed No | 79c | 113.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…d125backed Yes | 20c | 100.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 11c | 99.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…7c44backed Yes | 18c | 98.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 23c | 95.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 36c | 91.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed No | 79c | 81.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 17c | 81.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 18c | 81.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 76.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 73.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Yes | 19c | 72.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed Yes | 26c | 67.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…d07ebacked No | 76c | 67.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 154 | 33.8%52 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed Yes | 18c | 64.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…66ddbacked Yes | 19c | 62.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Yes | 19c | 59.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…13cebacked No | 76c | 58.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 75c | 58.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 22c | 56.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 48.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 47.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 80c | 43.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…2a45backed Yes | 26c | 39.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…8640backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 33c | 31.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…e3c0backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 76c | 24.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…52c4backed No | 78c | 20.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…76c8backed No | 80c | 20.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…b111backed No | 78c | 17.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…84f0backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.