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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Jacksonville Dolphins vs. West Georgia Wolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Georgia Wolvesof Jacksonville Dolphins, West Georgia Wolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Jacksonville Dolphins52c7,513$3,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,877.0789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked West Georgia Wolves52c7,024$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.75,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jacksonville Dolphins38c2,164$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.033,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked West Georgia Wolves62c1,998$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.681,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked West Georgia Wolves49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7652,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed West Georgia Wolves54c1,074$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.7599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins38c645$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.11,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Jacksonville Dolphins41c610$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.939742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jacksonville Dolphins37c335.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.881,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Jacksonville Dolphins25c322.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0738345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked West Georgia Wolves53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14143450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jacksonville Dolphins38c234.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.972,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed West Georgia Wolves70c227.36$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jacksonville Dolphins27c182.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.351,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville Dolphins29c171$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.461,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins38c160$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.81,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked West Georgia Wolves48c156.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville Dolphins34c145$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.151,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jacksonville Dolphins36c136.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.471,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed West Georgia Wolves50c132$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jacksonville Dolphins37c101.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.291,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed West Georgia Wolves68c95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.571,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x095b…6f34backed Jacksonville Dolphins30c73.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.892236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Jacksonville Dolphins33c63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.531,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked West Georgia Wolves48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8421443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed West Georgia Wolves64c35.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8930945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked West Georgia Wolves51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3739050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins49c29.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.681,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Jacksonville Dolphins51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Jacksonville Dolphins50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.