Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cornell Big Red vs. Columbia Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a416af5c82ca2f8e78b74f1b94834db4189c55a7ef0cdefcb93b648db52f03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cornell Big Redof Cornell Big Red, Columbia Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Columbia Lions | 51c | 12,155$6,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,165.73 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cornell Big Red | 49c | 11,101$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,668.29 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cornell Big Red | 49c | 5,010$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 4,800$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cornell Big Red | 49c | 2,176$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Columbia Lions | 49c | 1,869$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.05 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Cornell Big Red | 50c | 1,663$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.43 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Columbia Lions | 44c | 890.63$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.67 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Columbia Lions | 20c | 886.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Columbia Lions | 15c | 503$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Columbia Lions | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Columbia Lions | 51c | 424.56$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Cornell Big Red | 49c | 419$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Columbia Lions | 33c | 360.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Columbia Lions | 49c | 236.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Columbia Lions | 50c | 219.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Columbia Lions | 50c | 192.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cornell Big Red | 50c | 184.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Columbia Lions | 50c | 180.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cornell Big Red | 42c | 174.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Columbia Lions | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cornell Big Red | 63c | 161.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cornell Big Red | 66c | 161$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cornell Big Red | 66c | 151.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Columbia Lions | 40c | 145.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Columbia Lions | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Cornell Big Red | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cornell Big Red | 60c | 96.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cornell Big Red | 68c | 86.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Columbia Lions | 39c | 77.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 68.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cornell Big Red | 51c | 65.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Cornell Big Red | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cornell Big Red | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Columbia Lions | 55c | 56.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Columbia Lions | 50c | 55.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Cornell Big Red | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Columbia Lions | 23c | 50.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Columbia Lions | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…7d9ebacked Columbia Lions | 51c | 39.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Cornell Big Red | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Columbia Lions | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Cornell Big Red | 69c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cornell Big Red | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Columbia Lions | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cornell Big Red | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Columbia Lions | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Columbia Lions | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Columbia Lions | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Cornell Big Red | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cornell Big Red vs. Columbia Lionsthis page
- Cornell Big Red vs. Columbia Lions: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-1.5)Cornell Big Red won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.