Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Columbia Lions (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e5e71ccbc260b1ce017b9b8efd1e0625974af3bd3b777322981b11554cbf7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cornell Big Redof Columbia Lions, Cornell Big Red
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cornell Big Red | 53c | 536.46$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Columbia Lions | 47c | 366$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Columbia Lions | 49c | 118$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Columbia Lions | 47c | 94.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Columbia Lions | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Cornell Big Red | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Cornell Big Red | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Cornell Big Red | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Columbia Lions | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Cornell Big Red | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Cornell Big Red | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Cornell Big Red | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-1.5)this page
- Cornell Big Red vs. Columbia LionsCornell Big Red won
- Cornell Big Red vs. Columbia Lions: O/U 170.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.