Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0091120f5395bd259487656bff1c673ff957f147c9e0961943d54061a84fa58a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.99 | 212 | 58.5%124 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes | 19c | 6,432$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 5,381$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.51 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 80c | 3,308$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.84 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 33c | 1,847$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,803$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.32 | 2,575 | 45.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L | +12.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 1,750$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.64 | 2,013 | 39.4%794 W · 1,219 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 68c | 1,599$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.68 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 68c | 1,494$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…6052backed No | 68c | 1,013$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 679$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 469.7$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…c630backed No | 68c | 467.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…1cb5backed No | 68c | 439.71$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5db…218ebacked No | 68c | 425$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…fae1backed No | 68c | 389.71$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…744bbacked No | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…1f93backed No | 68c | 333.82$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 222.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 70c | 171.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked No | 68c | 135.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 30c | 101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…f2d5backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…83abbacked No | 68c | 98.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f5…91febacked No | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 30c | 95.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 33c | 93.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…a196backed No | 68c | 89.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…05ebbacked No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 76.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 73.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 360 | 46.4%167 W · 193 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 268 | 44.4%119 W · 149 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Yes | 55c | 55.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 68c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 299 | 62.5%187 W · 112 L | +34.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 67c | 38.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 65c | 32.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 68c | 28.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…8affbacked No | 77c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…1148backed No | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-23?No won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.