Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9314a0efd3821f19b4751df088bdfa82b853e2044628fc2d62405baba2f3a9aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 19c | 2,467$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.76 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 991.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 19c | 611.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 17c | 499.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 494$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 79c | 476.19$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 19c | 473.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 17c | 359.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 12c | 325.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 16c | 223.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…56cbbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 17c | 185.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…9b7dbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 18c | 123.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-28?this page
- Will Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.