Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c905a9f6746b5c12e879d8dd48bf637dbe5e1ef037bc793cad9e62c6828120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 78c | 2,016$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.52 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 22c | 1,735$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,295$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 16c | 1,126$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 23c | 1,058$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 79c | 999.98$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…3f12backed Yes | 13c | 791.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Yes | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…a1b6backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 595.05$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 78c | 522.76$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 406.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed No | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 309.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 269.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 195.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 14c | 150.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 78c | 149.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 23c | 148.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 22c | 147.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 14c | 132.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 22c | 112.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 78c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 16c | 106.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 55.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…05b7backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 13.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.