Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ca531df82474748cc951f164c7b719639da9b8ca718565478bc8b264b04faf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 12,352$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.67 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 11c | 9,032$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.09 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 4,050$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 2,710$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 1c | 1,493$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 4c | 999.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 430$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 12c | 411.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 11c | 395$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 3c | 301.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 11c | 278.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 12c | 133.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 10c | 110.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.