Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Sonego vs. Basilashvili
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668f421c4363fec5f81de7e2238d4128003f274256d25a3d7e8a7ba3bf0045d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonegoof Sonego, Basilashvili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Basilashvili | 10c | 8,208$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.65 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Basilashvili | 35c | 3,150$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.5 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Basilashvili | 19c | 2,399$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.86 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Sonego | 65c | 1,703$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.12 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Basilashvili | 21c | 1,187$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Basilashvili | 23c | 1,029$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…a8f9backed Sonego | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…03cebacked Basilashvili | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Basilashvili | 4c | 995.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Basilashvili | 19c | 895.15$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Basilashvili | 14c | 848.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sonego | 65c | 808$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sonego | 72c | 606.14$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.29 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sonego | 65c | 511.76$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Sonego | 72c | 500$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Basilashvili | 21c | 478$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Basilashvili | 23c | 450$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…3d26backed Basilashvili | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…933abacked Sonego | 68c | 370.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Basilashvili | 33c | 367.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sonego | 65c | 301$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Basilashvili | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Basilashvili | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Basilashvili | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Basilashvili | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sonego | 79c | 154$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Sonego | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Basilashvili | 35c | 143.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Basilashvili | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Basilashvili | 19c | 107.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Basilashvili | 17c | 100.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Basilashvili | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Basilashvili | 19c | 93.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Sonego | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Basilashvili | 32c | 45.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sonego | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…04f7backed Basilashvili | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Sonego | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Sonego | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…cf05backed Sonego | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…2bbdbacked Sonego | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…e547backed Sonego | 67c | 25.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.