Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Majchrzak vs. Buse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0788f726a452d9f4ec1c2650525d6d81cd2033a34d6ebfa591aca405e163e64f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buseof Majchrzak , Buse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Buse | 51c | 1,537$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.19 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Majchrzak | 76c | 1,299$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.35 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfe…c815backed Majchrzak | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…05bdbacked Buse | 33c | 990$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Majchrzak | 61c | 814.17$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.64 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Buse | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…3b94backed Majchrzak | 29c | 800$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Majchrzak | 61c | 766.41$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.51 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Buse | 30c | 762.73$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.83 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Majchrzak | 55c | 723.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Buse | 37c | 612.42$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.65 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buse | 35c | 317.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…57cabacked Majchrzak | 65c | 307.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Buse | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Buse | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Buse | 37c | 239$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Buse | 23c | 190$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Majchrzak | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Majchrzak | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Buse | 36c | 61.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Majchrzak | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Majchrzak | 63c | 20.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.