Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Giron vs. Mensik

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef294f3a411651fc64a78b6eecc80713e573a839bb8649e78825ef3b63052e9

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mensik of Giron , Mensik
Resolved: Jul 3, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,473 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mensik	60c	3,769$2,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.11	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Giron	44c	3,500$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.99	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Mensik	56c	3,035$1,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.14	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Giron	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	607	53.7%326 W · 281 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Giron	27c	1,669$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.89	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Mensik	66c	1,394$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.94	154	47.4%73 W · 81 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mensik	62c	1,360$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.31	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mensik	64c	816$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.3	65	30.8%20 W · 45 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giron	35c	750$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.5	627	42.4%266 W · 361 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Mensik	65c	750$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.5	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mensik	65c	750$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.5	731	47.9%350 W · 381 L	-16.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Giron	18c	724.84$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Giron	16c	617.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.95	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mensik	61c	601.57$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.19	813	49.1%399 W · 414 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Giron	62c	500$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.3	79	55.7%44 W · 35 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Mensik	74c	491.02$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.53	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Giron	62c	484.13$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	110	60.9%67 W · 43 L	+12.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Mensik	72c	474.72$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.04	321	41.1%132 W · 189 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6497…e879backed Mensik	43c	461.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Giron	46c	435.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	154	39.6%61 W · 93 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mensik	57c	421.24$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.62	164	45.7%75 W · 89 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Mensik	78c	415$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.2	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Giron	36c	400$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Giron	29c	375.78$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	245	29.8%73 W · 172 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Mensik	61c	325.81$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.81	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd22c…53e9backed Giron	38c	322.12$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Giron	29c	279.12$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.37	253	30%76 W · 177 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Mensik	56c	251.02$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.45	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giron	41c	246.72$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	639	42.4%271 W · 368 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giron	41c	244.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	480	43.3%208 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Mensik	64c	234.38$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.38	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-13.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mensik	70c	220$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.2	629	52.1%328 W · 301 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giron	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…6968backed Giron	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Giron	37c	199.99$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d0f…933abacked Mensik	58c	189.66$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.66	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a62…57cabacked Mensik	43c	186.05$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.05	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Mensik	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Giron	35c	150$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	173	49.1%85 W · 88 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Mensik	73c	122.02$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.46	138	64.5%89 W · 49 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Mensik	62c	108.16$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.35	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Mensik	44c	105.02$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.81	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Mensik	66c	100.16$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.91	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Mensik	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Giron	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	204	31.4%64 W · 140 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mensik	71c	84.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.51	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Giron	38c	59.42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Mensik	62c	48.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	2,339	46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L	+55.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1f…e547backed Giron	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf81b…89b1backed Mensik	62c	40.48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Giron	41c	36.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	19%11 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Mensik	61c	32.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	65	60%39 W · 26 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Mensik	68c	27.47$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.79	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x393d…7084backed Mensik	62c	19.16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.28	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wimbledon: Giron vs. Mensik

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market