Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Barbora Krejcikova vs Diana Shnaider
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17800a6e788cc6e2d0f94b730731faa6e29d8f013b7fd45a0f2143a9f3520b02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shnaiderof Krejcikova, Shnaider
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Krejcikova | 42c | 10,510$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.6 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Shnaider | 58c | 8,858$5,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.47 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Krejcikova | 28c | 7,265$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shnaider | 59c | 6,694$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Krejcikova | 50c | 3,579$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.91 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Shnaider | 48c | 3,429$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.9 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Shnaider | 58c | 2,814$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Krejcikova | 69c | 2,793$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Krejcikova | 45c | 2,245$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shnaider | 37c | 2,070$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.9 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Shnaider | 78c | 1,918$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.85 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shnaider | 77c | 1,538$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.23 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shnaider | 48c | 1,460$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.93 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Shnaider | 29c | 1,231$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.29 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Shnaider | 60c | 1,061$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Krejcikova | 40c | 919.43$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.77 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Krejcikova | 25c | 858.43$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Krejcikova | 24c | 813.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Krejcikova | 4c | 784.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Krejcikova | 39c | 737$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.95 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Krejcikova | 41c | 649.7$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shnaider | 50c | 648$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.1 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Shnaider | 60c | 600$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Shnaider | 61c | 491.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Krejcikova | 76c | 434.22$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Krejcikova | 23c | 433.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Krejcikova | 34c | 409.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Shnaider | 47c | 399.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.78 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shnaider | 62c | 389$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Krejcikova | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Krejcikova | 16c | 296.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Krejcikova | 39c | 251$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Krejcikova | 40c | 231.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…f667backed Krejcikova | 64c | 220$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shnaider | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Krejcikova | 37c | 194.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Shnaider | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Krejcikova | 71c | 152.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Shnaider | 63c | 151.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Shnaider | 34c | 130.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Krejcikova | 39c | 126.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Krejcikova | 40c | 123.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Shnaider | 40c | 99.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Shnaider | 62c | 97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Shnaider | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Krejcikova | 70c | 70.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Shnaider | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shnaider | 69c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shnaider | 51c | 60.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Krejcikova | 67c | 60.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Krejcikova | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Krejcikova | 74c | 49.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Shnaider | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Krejcikova | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…fdf6backed Krejcikova | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Krejcikova | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Shnaider | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Krejcikova | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Shnaider | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Shnaider | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…61d6backed Shnaider | 62c | 24.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8685…9083backed Shnaider | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Shnaider | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Shnaider | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Shnaider | 62c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Krejcikova | 63c | 16.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Barbora Krejcikova vs Diana Shnaiderthis page
- Krejcikova vs. Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.