CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45f621cc64b7e6f8c42157d30983c912a5d5703350aad9573b7f0b43050f6478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 52c | 21,218$10,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,285.6 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 49c | 6,911$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.48 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 48c | 5,078$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.61 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Over | 55c | 4,762$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.23 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 45c | 4,061$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 48c | 1,771$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Under | 48c | 1,765$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 48c | 1,350$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.1 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over | 67c | 1,102$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 70c | 1,078$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.11 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 49c | 1,013$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.23 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 70c | 946$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 840.61$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.9 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 832.69$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.96 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 60c | 550.85$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 519$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.59 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 50c | 473.84$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 48c | 453.15$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…cb36backed Under | 34c | 357.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 46c | 342.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 47c | 319.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 57c | 255.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 45c | 253$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 115.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 52c | 114.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 53c | 56.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…e2d8backed Over | 53c | 44.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 58c | 40.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed Over | 48c | 40.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 49c | 37.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…4ee4backed Under | 58c | 30.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 73cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…500fbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…b737backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…f6b2backed Over | 50c | 25.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.