Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda4bf4f76651974ec4834fbd1a74a6f6c6b6809e48198a59934fc98d536c8d64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Under | 70c | 10,214$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.27 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 6,180$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 38c | 4,476$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 70c | 3,734$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 31c | 3,322$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 62c | 2,527$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.68 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 1,751$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.61 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 822.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 391.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Under | 66c | 357.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 37c | 333.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 37c | 269.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 36c | 244.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 243.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 31c | 237.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 230.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 68c | 218.84$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Over | 7c | 213.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 63c | 189.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 71c | 175.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd2…e477backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 63c | 149.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 67c | 129.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 64c | 129.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 64c | 127.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 9c | 116.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 46.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Over | 30c | 44.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 63c | 40.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 39.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 30c | 35.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 74c | 32.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…f36ebacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Under | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.