TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd10c…0645backed Over59c11,000$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.981346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c4,777$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.323441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under71c4,196$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under47c3,416$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.486567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c3,026$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.471,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under68c2,947$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.591250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,762$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.272,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.993053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under47c1,800$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.7834239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under39c1,762$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.2715946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under40c1,500$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.964242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under40c1,488$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.5117744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under44c763.08$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.78837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over28c705.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c534.85$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…c873backed Under76c526.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0a…c1d9backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c494.34$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.9432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over33c491$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5639740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c444.37$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5141144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under39c440$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over26c384.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under41c348$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3214651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over68c313.96$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.491050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eea…df80backed Under64c312.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c305$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over18c299.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over63c290.63$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.266852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over56c229.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.795540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xed36…33d5backed Under37c218.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over61c206.93$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.944856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over18c206$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.197042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12212422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over33c199.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over22c191.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over63c189.25$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.231145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…f5bdbacked Over28c179$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-83.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over59c169.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9917354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under59c162.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.819353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over61c161.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.67520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-71%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over28c156.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8514442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over66c146.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under55c142.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Over61c137.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.691741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under73c131.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.121872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over62c125$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.52835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under77c123.06$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Under41c115.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.961963.2%12 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+137%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over33c109.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6421748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over59c107.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over44c100.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.191216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over31c99.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.869045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Under60c99.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd2…e477backed Under58c88.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.31090%9 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+55.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under55c87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.392951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under41c85.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6519952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over59c82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…1184backed Under74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over55c79.6$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.782138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over51c79.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+101.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9165…e7e7backed Under45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+76.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over61c77.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34b8…780ebacked Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.339354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under47c69.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.773666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under43c64.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.879627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2068…d19bbacked Under49c61.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.411060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over29c59.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under65c58.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over46c58.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.792259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under40c55.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.232948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6822545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b43…7829backed Under45c53.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Over40c52.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over60c51.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over63c50.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.274942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.511255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over49c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over63c48.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.874271.4%30 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Under69c47.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Under41c45.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.