Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb74b92133b4cf5350a2626863428cb59ab009453c30fe383f3b6e5115c6256df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ACF Fiorentinaof Juventus FC, ACF Fiorentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed ACF Fiorentina | 61c | 4,007$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Juventus FC | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juventus FC | 22c | 2,460$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.07 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Juventus FC | 37c | 2,189$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.34 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Juventus FC | 47c | 2,121$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked ACF Fiorentina | 49c | 1,273$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.3 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Juventus FC | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked ACF Fiorentina | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Juventus FC | 50c | 768.3$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.15 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Juventus FC | 50c | 638.75$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.83 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Juventus FC | 9c | 475.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 447.64$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.47 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Juventus FC | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 399.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Juventus FC | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Juventus FC | 50c | 267.76$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Juventus FC | 50c | 232$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked ACF Fiorentina | 52c | 208.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Juventus FC | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Juventus FC | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Juventus FC | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed ACF Fiorentina | 51c | 196.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd2…e477backed ACF Fiorentina | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Juventus FC | 48c | 174.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ACF Fiorentina | 51c | 165.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked ACF Fiorentina | 67c | 162$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Juventus FC | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked ACF Fiorentina | 56c | 145.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed ACF Fiorentina | 78c | 127.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed ACF Fiorentina | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Juventus FC | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed ACF Fiorentina | 55c | 120.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Juventus FC | 49c | 119.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Juventus FC | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Juventus FC | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Juventus FC | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed ACF Fiorentina | 79c | 86.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 68.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed ACF Fiorentina | 63c | 65.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed ACF Fiorentina | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked ACF Fiorentina | 55c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Juventus FC | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked ACF Fiorentina | 51c | 57.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Juventus FC | 25c | 56.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Juventus FC | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…1de8backed ACF Fiorentina | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Juventus FC | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed ACF Fiorentina | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed ACF Fiorentina | 79c | 35.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Juventus FC | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Juventus FC | 51c | 28.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 26.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…937cbacked ACF Fiorentina | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Juventus FC | 50c | 21.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Juventus FC | 50c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed ACF Fiorentina | 72c | 20.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)this page
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.